Shortly before our evidence session in February we received a letter from DHSC and NHSE explaining that an error had been identified in their initial modelling of the dental recovery plan.54 The error related to the cost of the NPP, which NHSE and DHSC had estimated would be £164 million for an additional 1.13 million courses of treatment in 2024–25.55 Their modelling did not, however, account for the cost of the premium for new patients who would have seen an NHS dentist in 2024–25 without t...

Shortly before our evidence session in February we received a letter from DHSC and NHSE explaining that an error had been identified in their initial modelling of the dental recovery plan.54 The error related to the cost of the NPP, which NHSE and DHSC had estimated would be £164 million for an additional 1.13 million courses of treatment in 2024–25.55 Their modelling did not, however, account for the cost of the premium for new patients who would have seen an NHS dentist in 2024–25 without the additional incentive. Factoring this in meant that the £164 million attributed to the NPP would only be able to deliver 690,000 additional treatments. Type: conclusion | Number: 19 | Response status: accepted Government response: 3.1 The government agrees with the Committee’s recommendation. Recommendation implemented: June 2025 3.2 NHSE has immediately put additional short-term analytical resources into its Dental analytical work supporting the modelling of dental contract changes and reform.